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SACCI Business Confidence Index May 2019


Marginally lower Business Confidence

SACCI’s Business Confidence Index (BCI) declined to 93.0 in May 2019 from 93.7 in April 2019 and was also one index point lower than the 94.0 level in May 2018. The May 2019 BCI level of 93.0 indicates that the business climate still lags the business conditions that prevailed in 2018, whose average for the year was 95.5. The 5-month average index for 2019 is 93.4. 

In the April 2019 to May 2019 month-to-month analysis of the sub-indices, four of the thirteen sub-indices that make up the composite BCI improved, eight decreased and one sub-index remained unchanged. The four sub-indices that improved are increased merchandise export volumes, lower consumer price inflation, energy supply, and increased real credit extension to the private sector.

The year-on-year decline of the BCI from 94.0 in May 2018 to 93.0 in May 2019 was driven by the following sub-indices – investment and trade weighted rand that depreciated against the US-dollar, the British pound and the Euro; the decline in the all-share index of the JSE; the lower real value of building plans passed; less new vehicles sold, and declining real retail sales. There was an increase in import and export trade volumes, and lower annual consumer inflation. 

With the national and provincial elections now concluded and the new cabinet and provincial legislature now in place, business anticipates priority focus to be on efforts to grow the economy, to create jobs, to eliminate historical social injustices, to improve education and health care, to fight crime, and broadly to improve the lives of ordinary South Africans.

For a full background to this month’s SACCI BCI see the full BCI report on www.sacci.org.za.

For more information, contact:

Alan Mukoki                            SACCI CEO                            082 551 1159

Richard Downing                    SACCI Economist                   082 822 5566

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