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Business Confidence Index November 2018


Thursday, 6 December 2018

Maintaining business confidence   

SACCI released the November 2018 Business Confidence Index (BCI) at its offices in Illovo, Johannesburg.

SACCI’s Business Confidence Index (BCI) for November 2018 measured 96.1 and increased by only 0.3 index point month-on-month. The BCI was one index point higher than in November 2017. The upward momentum of the BCI since September 2018 appears to have flattened and it is the second time this year that the business climate hesitated after encouraging steps to develop and enhanced business confidence.

In November 2018, three sub-indices were positive month-on-month, three were unchanged, and seven declined on their October levels. Four of the seven real-activity sub-indices had a negative month-on-month impact on the BCI and three of the six financial sub-indices were negative in November 2018.

The November BCI level was supported by improvements of merchandise export and import volumes, the real value of building plans passed and manufacturing output. The year-on-year decline in the all-share price index of the JSE, higher inflation, lower precious metal prices, and stagnant real retail sales weighed the most negatively on the BCI in November 2018.

South Africa’s economy continues to face various limitations due to inadequate growth, growing public debt, capital outflows, world trade tensions, fiscal constraints and several socio-political challenges that prevent optimal economic performance.

With the world economy moving ahead rapidly in tandem with the Fourth Industrial Revolution, South Africa cannot compromise political popularity at the cost of becoming and remaining an investment destination. This does not only imply changing production processes of the different sectors, but also the cost and efficacy of production factors to which technology is integrated.

It has become evident that South Africa has entered a process and protracted period of economic recuperation and implementation given the assessment as indicated in the MTBPS in October. The flattening of momentum in business confidence must be addressed in order to create a situation where investor confidence could be nurtured.

For a full background to this month’s SACCI BCI see the economic commentary in the BCI report on www.sacci.org.za.

For more information, contact:

Alan Mukoki                                     SACCI CEO                                        011 446 3800

Richard Downing                              SACCI Economist                              082 822 5566


Read the BCI report below:

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